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Post by benjamini on Jan 22, 2018 15:51:16 GMT
Im not sure the math works that way though. If you play 10 games, win 6, you've won 60% of your games. If 3 of those are your own faction, you don't go up to 90%, you go down to 42%. If anything, playing and winning against your own faction pads the results is a positive way. Edit: I guess that is unless the 4 games you lost were also vs the same faction. Wouldn't a mirror match end up being both a win and a loss recorded for that faction of they were counted? In that case it skews both the number of wins and losses the faction has. There's also the fact that mirror matches don't really tell you much useful about balance if faction choice is the only thing you're tracking.
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Post by Gamingdevil on Jan 22, 2018 15:59:49 GMT
Im not sure the math works that way though. If you play 10 games, win 6, you've won 60% of your games. If 3 of those are your own faction, you don't go up to 90%, you go down to 42%. If anything, playing and winning against your own faction pads the results is a positive way. Edit: I guess that is unless the 4 games you lost were also vs the same faction. Wouldn't a mirror match end up being both a win and a loss recorded for that faction of they were counted? In that case it skews both the number of wins and losses the faction has. There's also the fact that mirror matches don't really tell you much useful about balance if faction choice is the only thing you're tracking. It does, but it's not a wash, because of the relative value these matches have, which will "flatten" the result. Say you have 4 players, but 2 of those played against each other. All games are won, though of course the mirror also has a loser. If you disregard the mirror completely you get a 100% win rate, if you count it, you get a 75%. You're right that exact mirrors don't really say much, but what exactly is disregarded should be related to the scope of the information you try to take from it. If you want to see the faction win rate, then you disregard faction vs faction, but if you want caster statistics, you should only disregard exact caster mirrors, because one faction could have an excellent counter to another of its own casters. If you disregard the entire faction for the caster comparison, you're skewing the results in a way that they no longer accurately reflect the truth, this is what Deller was saying.
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